Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001103 0.001253 0.001404 0.001568 0.001739 0.001913 0.002102
2025-06-08 0.000873 0.001087 0.001310 0.001560 0.001828 0.002106 0.002414
2025-06-15 0.000744 0.001009 0.001296 0.001624 0.001984 0.002363 0.002789
2025-06-22 0.000580 0.000876 0.001208 0.001597 0.002034 0.002502 0.003034
2025-06-29 0.000469 0.000790 0.001163 0.001612 0.002124 0.002679 0.003318
2025-07-06 0.000426 0.000779 0.001201 0.001718 0.002313 0.002964 0.003718
2025-07-13 0.000326 0.000684 0.001132 0.001693 0.002351 0.003078 0.003926
2025-07-20 0.000228 0.000578 0.001040 0.001635 0.002344 0.003137 0.004071
2025-07-27 0.000185 0.000544 0.001034 0.001677 0.002451 0.003324 0.004356
2025-08-03 0.000131 0.000481 0.000986 0.001663 0.002491 0.003431 0.004549
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000386 0.000886 0.001579 0.002442 0.003433 0.004621
2025-08-17 0.000038 0.000335 0.000841 0.001562 0.002471 0.003523 0.004791
2025-08-24 0.000005 0.000249 0.000750 0.001499 0.002465 0.003597 0.004974
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000194 0.000697 0.001484 0.002518 0.003743 0.005242
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000172 0.000698 0.001542 0.002663 0.003999 0.005641
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000123 0.000639 0.001513 0.002697 0.004123 0.005886
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000093 0.000611 0.001525 0.002782 0.004306 0.006200
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000093 0.000644 0.001627 0.002983 0.004630 0.006679
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000060 0.000594 0.001602 0.003017 0.004751 0.006918
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000028 0.000527 0.001544 0.003005 0.004814 0.007087
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000020 0.000523 0.001585 0.003123 0.005033 0.007441
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000487 0.001571 0.003166 0.005161 0.007684
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000413 0.001489 0.003113 0.005168 0.007781